Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 55.630311 63.473660 71.571681 80.523669 90.109662 100.036081 111.061390
2025-04-13 42.273402 53.162639 65.014333 78.731057 94.035637 110.465272 129.316994
2025-04-20 36.977646 49.846454 64.372342 81.695548 101.524783 123.274080 148.700521
2025-04-27 32.463840 46.670967 63.243896 83.527765 107.247562 133.721913 165.133804
2025-05-04 27.680622 42.547198 60.477204 82.983352 109.837931 140.295748 176.918992
2025-05-11 23.590536 38.802253 57.762135 82.138451 111.769852 145.865611 187.348601
2025-05-18 20.792722 36.406717 56.452793 82.767482 115.261100 153.099589 199.579600
2025-05-25 17.946751 33.633367 54.414852 82.282389 117.237089 158.420885 209.480907
2025-06-01 15.785605 31.580151 53.129162 82.588881 120.056397 164.652242 220.383409
2025-06-08 13.462480 29.031155 50.982251 81.623850 121.168903 168.737366 228.669441
2025-06-15 12.153829 27.875406 50.633358 82.918663 125.050127 176.131447 240.877959
2025-06-22 11.031574 26.888775 50.433281 84.344469 129.052657 183.648961 253.227535
2025-06-29 9.408425 24.914621 48.726099 83.696240 130.398684 187.942204 261.768843
2025-07-06 7.622339 22.409919 46.067646 81.613349 129.789427 189.748743 267.249579
2025-07-13 7.245042 22.407448 47.136843 84.681073 135.902720 199.936743 282.975007
2025-07-20 6.637332 21.890671 47.370763 86.546348 140.418363 208.123052 296.261043
2025-07-27 5.601545 20.378370 45.952026 85.991285 141.670014 212.164743 304.427671
2025-08-03 4.637184 18.839455 44.378664 85.128117 142.446114 215.560330 311.766153
2025-08-10 4.039117 17.993423 43.870613 85.770665 145.223217 221.488524 322.244164
2025-08-17 3.338353 16.763693 42.634718 85.275167 146.407873 225.349011 330.129107
2025-08-24 2.834353 15.906179 41.970105 85.588234 148.671131 230.581683 339.725863
2025-08-31 2.237857 14.637897 40.492772 84.602467 149.091465 233.397505 346.266356
2025-09-07 1.968676 14.235005 40.533824 85.925079 152.715952 240.379972 358.069354